{"id":23566,"date":"2017-09-25T16:03:19","date_gmt":"2017-09-25T23:03:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/goldco.com\/?p=23566"},"modified":"2025-12-15T15:35:24","modified_gmt":"2025-12-15T23:35:24","slug":"central-banker-no-proof-feds-intervention-succeeded","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/goldco.com\/central-banker-no-proof-feds-intervention-succeeded\/","title":{"rendered":"Even a Central Banker Admits: No Proof Fed\u2019s Massive Intervention Succeeded"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Stephen Williamson, an economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, joined critics of the US central bank last week by conceding there is no proof that massive intervention in the credit markets such as the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.stlouisfed.org\/publications\/regional-economist\/third-quarter-2017\/quantitative-easing-how-well-does-this-tool-work\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Fed\u2019s quantitative easing program<\/a> has worked.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere appears to be no evidence that QE works either to increase inflation, if we look at the Japanese case, or to increase real GDP \u00a0if we compare Canada with the US,\u201d Williamson said in an analysis on the bank\u2019s website. \u201cEvaluating the effects of monetary policy is difficult, even in the case of conventional interest rate policy,\u201d he added. \u201cWith unconventional monetary policy, the difficulty is magnified, as the economic theory can be lacking, and there is a small amount of data available for empirical evaluation. With respect to QE, there are good reasons to be skeptical that it works as advertised, and some economists have made a good case that QE is actually detrimental.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>One can look at QE as an \u201casset transformation\u201d by the Fed, he suggested. \u201cFor example, the central bank turns long maturity government debt into short maturity reserves.\u201d But that raises two issues.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFirst, the fiscal authority [i.e. the Treasury] could have done the same thing by issuing less long-maturity debt and more short-maturity government debt,\u201d the economist pointed out. \u201cSo, is the case for QE that the central bank is somehow better at debt management than the fiscal authority?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>If that\u2019s true, then the Fed should have the power to manage the maturity structure of outstanding debt.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSecond, perhaps the private sector can do a better job than the central bank in turning long-maturity debt into short-maturity debt,\u201d suggested Williamson. If so, then maybe the Fed should be able to issue a richer set of liabilities \u2013 \u201ccirculating debt similar to Treasury bills for example, which would be superior as an asset to bank reserves,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stephen Williamson, an economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, joined critics of the US central bank last week by conceding there is no proof that massive intervention in the credit markets such as the Fed\u2019s quantitative easing program has worked. \u201cThere appears to be no evidence that QE works either to increase [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":32539,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[208],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23566","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-federal-reserve"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.8 (Yoast SEO v26.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Central Banker: No Proof Fed\u2019s Massive Intervention Succeeded<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stephen Williamson, an economist with the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, joined critics of the US central bank last week by conceding there is no proof that massive intervention in the credit markets such as the Fed\u2019s quantitative easing program has worked.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/goldco.com\/central-banker-no-proof-feds-intervention-succeeded\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Even a Central Banker Admits: No Proof Fed\u2019s Massive Intervention Succeeded &#8211; 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